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Be prepared to pass up trades if something puts you off. Do not force trades where there are none, opportunities will arrive. The first point is to offer an explanation of forex markets in general: Exchange of currencies is ruled by the laws of supply and demand. They use HSBC for clearing, so these funds are received there. The transfer order comes in on Tuesday at 4 pm UK time. These may have arrived up to a month ago. The order is fixed at 1. How can banks — or retails investors — make money from this transaction?
Extending the hypothetical example, here is how the markets look. Euro outlook is bullish. Asian markets rose during the night. The US fiscal cliff is getting resolved. Millions of retail investors and outlets take BUY orders and place their stops 10 pips under the current price. Other retail investors now make new buy orders to cover their losses.
The price flies to 1. Here, we might exit our BUY positions gradually assuming we followed the bank trades. We exited at 1. Once leverage is considered — and the sheer scale of these trades — huge sums of money have just changed hands.
Banks and retail investors both utilise leverage to make big gains from such moves. The truth is that the volumes are huge 4 trillion USD daily. These levels are defined by the larger players. They also hold really well because retail investors spot them and use too. The smart money cycle happens in 3 price cycles. These price cycles are not random.
This sequence is defined by a set of numbers called Fibonacci numbers. Fibonacci numbers were not developed for trading. Combining Fibonacci with precise price channel calculations and information on how others trade, you have a profitable trading strategy for forex. Well unlike with spot foreign exchange, you need to be right more often. You need to identify the direction, not the size of the move. During day trading this will not involve big trades shown above.
Correlations show which pairs move together. No less importantly, it will show which pairs are unrelated. Correlations are normally displayed with values ranging from to Figures at the extremes of the spectrum are rare — but the closer the number to or , the stronger the correlation.
This shows a strong correlation. It shows that the correlation between these two pairs is Correlations tables are created and updated based on hourly, daily and weekly timeframes. All these timeframes provide valuable information depending on what timeframe you trade on. For short-term trading, the hourly and daily correlations will be the most important important. Figures change, so do not take the above as gospel.
For example, a trader might assume trading multiple pairs has offered them diversification. Only by knowing pair correlations, can this be assured. Risk has effectively been tripled. If leverage has also been used, the risk is large. Another reason why forex correlations matter, is that they can provide you with trades you may not have seen. High correlations positive to negative provide you with alternative trades; choose the one with the best trade set-up. I also like to use forex correlations to confirm trades.
Upon finding forex pairs with high correlations, I will use one pair to confirm trades in the other.
When they do not, it warns me that maybe I should look more closely at my trade. Correlations can be a complex statistical topic. Check correlations frequently to be aware of relationships between forex pairs which may be affecting your trading. Use the correlation data to control risk, find opportunities and filter trades.
If you are having trouble seeing how correlations work, try looking at the figures in the correlation tables and then pulling up price charts of the two forex pairs in question. Notice how the pairs move relative to one another; doing this will help create a general understanding of correlations.
A trader is attempting to follow the momentum of an asset price, usually within an established trend channel. The reason being that it is difficult for institutional traders to put on positions of the sort of size they need without moving the market. This trade also won. A third put options at 1. This trade lost, as price went above my level and formed a new daily high. Price formed a newer low at 1.
I took a call option on the re-touch of 1. Basically the same trade as the previous one. Price was holding pretty well at 1. On a normal move, I would take a put option there, but momentum was strong on the 2: Several put options almost set up on the 1.
So my next trade was yet another call option down near where I had taken call options during my previous two trades. I felt this was a safer move as just half-a-pip can be crucial in determining whether a second trade is won or lost.
Call option down at 1. However, the minute after this trade expired in-the-money, the market broke below 1. This trade was a put option at 1. Nevertheless, this trade did not win as price continued to climb back into its previous trading range.
I decided to take a put option at the touch of 1. This trade might seem a bit puzzling at first given a new high for the day had been established and that momentum was upward. But by simply watching the candle it seemed that price was apt to fall a bit.
It was also heading into an area of recent resistance so once it hit 1. For this trade, the high of day initially made on the 2: